Wage Series Part 2: Trends in CPI and its Impact on Your Contract Negotiations

By: Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

In part one of our early 2021 Wage series, we reported on the latest CPI data. That was a look backward at the more recent data. In this article, we look forward to what you might expect for inflation over the near term.  Given the goal of achieving a wage increase that at the very least doesn’t fall behind the cost of living, knowing where inflation may be heading is important.

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Wage Series Part 1: Latest CPI Reports

Wage Series Part 1:  Latest CPI Reports

By: Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

Launch of the 2021 Winter Wage Series

This is the first of a multi-part series addressing current economic conditions and wage settlement trends.  In this Winter 2021 Wage Series, we’ll bring you an update on CPI and economic developments, wage settlements, interest arbitration trends, statewide wage rankings for public safety classifications across the State, and an in-depth analysis of what factors appear to be impacting those rankings and settlements.

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Moderate Insurance Rate Increases for 2021 In Tough Times

By Jim Cline

A year unlike any other, health care has been at the center of our attention. What does that mean for insurance costs going forward? Always an important part of the negotiated total compensation, we’re also paying attention to the trends in health care costs.

Our preliminary assessment of costs based on our review of several major plan offerings shows moderate increases for 2021 rates. Here’s a breakdown by major carrier and plan:

Not all these plans are of equivalent value. This table breaks out the rates by each of the tiers and the major plan specs.

The popular and often bargained for LEOFF Trust plan has seen several spikes in rates over the recent years that have made it less cost-competitive compared to AWC and PEBB plans. For 2021, the LEOFF rates are increasing only by 2.5% which reflects some apparent improvements in the Trust’s claims experience and utilization. After several years of relatively good performance, AWC rates are rising 4-5%.

We’re at the outset of collecting 2021 data statewide and will make that available as we collect and evaluate it. Overall, we had expected moderate 2021 rate increases based on industry utilization reports.  Despite the pandemic that is filling ICUs, overall health care utilization appears to be reduced this year.  People are deferring optional medical procedures and generally avoiding clinic visits.  More widespread use of telemedicine has reduced costs for 2020 and could result in some longer-term savings as well.

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