Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Report Highlights Slow Growth in National and State Economy

Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Report Highlights Slow Growth in National and State Economy

By Jim Cline

The newly-released September 2012 report of the Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Council identifies an economy, of a slow national economy coupled with a slightly stronger State economy. This report is consistent with the other recent Forecast Council reports. As we have discussed, the mixed economic conditions impede a full fiscal recovery for the State and local governments and serves as a significant constraint on the current collective bargaining environment. Until government budgets rebuild reserves and the labor market picks up momentum, we are unlikely to return to widespread robust contract settlements. [Read more…]

Latest CPI Report Still Shows Seattle Inflation Running Ahead of National Inflation

Latest CPI Report Still Shows Seattle Inflation Running Ahead of National Inflation

By Jim Cline and Kate Kremer

The Bureau of Labor Statistics just released CPI report that reports the August Seattle CPI-W at 2.7%, one full percentage point ahead of the All Cities number. These numbers are virtually identical to the last bimonthly (June) report in which the Seattle Index was reported at 2.7% and the all cities Index was reported at 1.6%. This chart shows the last 12 months of CPI-W data:

Here’s a table that also that shows the Seattle and All City W numbers alongside some other relevant West Coast inflation indices:

[Read more…]

September Report of State Forecast Council Slightly Improved

September Report of State Forecast Council Slightly Improved

By Jim Cline

A couple recent reports of the Washington State Economic and Revenue Forecast Council released this past week, shows some modest good news.  The “Economic and Revenue Update” highlights include its finding that “Washington employment, income, and housing are doing as well or better than expected but exports are weakening.” It also reports State government revenues as slightly higher than forecasted “mainly due to higher-than-expected real estate excise tax receipts.” [Read more…]